What makes gene therapy so different from traditional drug development?
How do we address safety when each patient only receives a single dose?
And why are statisticians so essential in this process?
In this episode of The Effective Statistician, I sit down with Oscar Segurado, an MD, PhD, an expert in gene and cell therapies, to answer these questions and more. Oscar draws on decades of experience in academia, med tech, and biopharma—including his work on the blockbuster drug Humira—to guide us through the complexities of clinical development in gene therapy. We discuss everything from early clinical trials to commercialization, uncovering the unique challenges of treating rare diseases like hemophilia A and spinal muscular atrophy.
Whether you’re a statistician, data scientist, or just curious about the future of medicine, this episode offers valuable insights into the clinical development of gene therapies and the vital role statisticians play in advancing these groundbreaking treatments.
Key points:
- Gene Therapy Uniqueness: Differences from traditional drug development
- Safety & Dosing: Single-dose approach, safety considerations
- Statisticians’ Role: Essential contributions in planning and analysis
- Guest Background: Oscar’s expertise in academia, med tech, biopharma, Humira development
- Clinical Development: Phases from trials to commercialization
- Rare Disease Focus: Hemophilia A, spinal muscular atrophy
- Challenges & Opportunities: Unique clinical and statistical challenges
- Future of Medicine: Insights into advancements in gene therapy
Oscar’s expertise sheds light on the unique challenges and groundbreaking possibilities in this field, highlighting the critical role that statisticians and data scientists play in advancing these therapies.
If you found this episode insightful, I encourage you to listen in full and share it with colleagues, friends, or anyone interested in the future of healthcare. Let’s spread the word on how statistical expertise is driving the next frontier in medicine—tune in, learn, and pass it on!
Transform Your Career at The Effective Statistician Conference 2024!
- Exceptional Speakers: Insights from leaders in statistics.
- Networking: Connect with peers and experts.
- Interactive Workshops: Hands-on learning experiences with Q&A.
- Free Access: Selected presentations and networking.
- All Access Pass: Comprehensive experience with recordings and workshops.
Never miss an episode!
Join thousends of your peers and subscribe to get our latest updates by email!
Get the
Learn on demand
Click on the button to see our Teachble Inc. cources.
Featured courses
Click on the button to see our Teachble Inc. cources.
Oscar Segurado, MD PhD
Executive Director at Medic Affairs Consulting, LLC
Physician, immunologist, and molecular biologist with over 30 years of global leadership experience in biopharmaceutical industry, clinical research and development, translational medicine, business development, and medical affairs.
Executive Director at MedicAffairs Consulting LLC. Former Chief Medical Officer at ASC Therapeutics, a clinical-stage biopharma company developing gene and cell therapies for monogenic diseases and immuno-oncology, leading the clinical and regulatory strategy for multiple CBER/CDER meetings and submissions. Executive contributor to public/private financings, IPOs, mergers, and acquisitions. Previously Chief Medical Officer at Simvivo and Myriad Genetics. VP at Becton Dickinson Biosciences and Executive Medical Director at AbbVie Humira.
Experienced in translating cutting-edge science into innovative and life-changing therapies for patients with unmet medical needs. Expert in gene therapy, gene editing, CRISPR, autologous (CAR-T) and allogeneic cell therapies, biologic therapies (HUMIRA), personalized medicine, genomic and cellular biomarkers, and other therapeutic areas such as hematology, oncology, autoimmunity-inflammation, rheumatology, neurology, cardiovascular, rare and metabolic diseases.
Transcript
Clinical Development of Gene Therapies
Alexander: [00:00:00] Welcome to another episode of the Effective Statistician. Today I’m super excited to have Oscar with me here and we will talk about clinical development plans for gene and cell therapy and how these then help to move into the post commercialization phase.
But before we dive a little bit further into that topic maybe you can introduce yourself shortly.
Oscar: Sure. First of all, Alexander, thank you so much for this opportunity to speak with you and your audience. I’m an MD, PhD. I work in academia for about 10 years, and I was able to get a PhD. Tenure professorship of immunology and at that time I started to think, okay, I already did this.
What do I do next? And in the next almost over 30 years now, I’ve been working in the biopharma industry. I’ve working also in med tech, [00:01:00] medical devices, and lately in biotechs and working with biotechs. That’s where I had the opportunity to focus on gene and cell therapies. What we’re going to be discussing today and the majority of my work first, when I work with what I would say my call to fame was with AbbVie, Abbott Laboratories or with the Humira team.
It was a biologic anti TNF, very well known, probably until recently with the new obesity drugs. best selling drug in history. And then I started working after my clinical development work also medical affairs with this company and with this asset. I moved into biotechs and my, my jobs at biotechs were always overseeing the entire clinical development effort.
And what that means is the majority of my roles were either supporting or being the chief medical officer. I recently [00:02:00] resigned from my last job. I there were a number of changes in my life and I decided to move back into consulting and that’s what we’re, what I’m doing right now. I run a, an organization called Medic Affairs Consulting LLC and I provide support for clinical development, for medical affairs across different therapeutics area, areas and I cover across different types of needs for my clients.
Alexander: Today, we want to talk a little bit specifically, not about this big blockbuster drugs like Humira. And yeah, I’ve worked on competitions of Humira quite a lot. But about exactly the opposite. Yeah. Gene and cell therapy. If you think about your kind of. History working on Jumeirah and on indications probably like psoriasis, rheumatoid arthritis and all these other diseases in this area where there’s, lots of patients.
And now you jump [00:03:00] into gene and cell therapy from a clinical development point of view. That must be a huge difference, isn’t it?
Oscar: Yeah, it’s very different. But look, when you’re an immunologist by background the first thing that you do is to understand the science
and what that means is that you’re a molecular biologist, you’re a protein biologist and a cell biologist.
So that’s why when I had the opportunity to rethink my career, and it was about 10 years ago, and I started going into this chief medical officer and this opportunity in gene and cell therapies, I realized, okay, I’m ready. I think especially gene therapy is going to be very easy to do. And that’s absolutely right.
And I was right, because you understand the biology of the target, which is a gene that either is not functioning or missing, and you just want to replace it. So from a drug development perspective, you know what you’re doing. And the possibility of failure [00:04:00] is very low. And I can jump into my last
Alexander: You just made a statement that I want to dig a little bit deeper into.
Why is the possibility of failure so low? Is it, don’t you? You still need to do phase one studies and so on, isn’t it?
Oscar: Yeah, you do. But again, you know exactly what’s the problem. And you have the solution. Nowadays, gene therapies has been, have been going on for over 20 years in humans, obviously much earlier than that in preclinical work.
And during all these two decades, we know exactly how to synthesize a gene In the lab, and to put together all the elements that you need to trigger the activity of this gene. We also know how to incorporate this gene into an individual. In my case, [00:05:00] where I was focusing in one of my roles, supporting a chief medical officer, was into the motor neurons working with a vexus.
which was acquired by Novartis for over seven billion dollars, and I worked with that team, and they, they were able to incorporate a gene into these motor neurons of little babies that would die within months.
Okay. And many of them have been already alive for over 10 years. So the f my focus was on, on incorporating or inserting these genes into the liver, which is even more, more, let’s say possible with different therapeutic areas.
And the way I do that was focusing on hemophilia A. . There is also hemophilia B. In both cases, you have a non functional or missing gene for factor VIII. Factor VIII is part of the cascade of the coagulation so that you are able, your blood is able to [00:06:00] clot. We know for many years, for decades even, that even in hemophilia A, that if you replace those, the missing gene for factor VIII, this patient is going to be able to sustain.
This activity factor it for life and that’s where I can go into more details and that’s what I was doing for the past four and a half years.
Alexander: So the method of action is absolutely clear. Yeah very
Oscar: well defined has been developed. There are many companies working on these. ISC therapeutics is a small biotech in the Bay Area, but you have Pfizer collaborating with Sangamo.
They just announced that they have also a factor eight gene available. You have Roche. They acquired Spark Therapeutics, and they also have developed another gene therapy for hemophilia A, and there is also BioMarine. And [00:07:00] this is the only approved factor eight for for I can go into the details why we were doing that when our competition was so big and strong.
Alexander: If you know the method of action, yeah, and I know I’ve worked in psychiatry and these kind of areas, and there’s everything, but the method of action is very clear because in, the brain is so complex that you think you understand a couple of things, but there’s so many different factors involved, yeah.
And then. You, but you still need to do your phase one studies to assure that your drug is safe and you have the right dose. If, and then I think with gene therapy, you only have more or less one goal per patient, isn’t it? So you say you can’t have a dose escalation or anything like that, isn’t it?
Oscar: That’s correct. So you the reason for that is that we use [00:08:00] AAV, an adeno associated virus, and we give to the patient this virus containing the synthesized gene.
Plus all the elements that are necessary to ensure that the genes function once you insert that into the liver cell, the hepatocyte. And because you use such an incredible amount of viruses, in the trillions of viruses, this patient develops an immune response and becomes totally immune. Unable to receive another time, another goal with any other AAV.
So any patient receiving a gene therapy. Cannot receive any other gene therapy using this methodology, which is, which we call AAV gene therapies. So you’re right. So you get so you do all your pre analytical work on animal models, on, on monkeys. And once you have it identified, [00:09:00] you have usually two or three doses that you want to test in patients.
And then you have a dose escalation. Phase one to eight, we call because we don’t have a phase two, so we move from the Only pre pivotal trial study to the pivotal trial. And in that study, we define the actual dose that you need to the patient, but we can use that one dose per patient. We see how it works.
Then we go to the next patient. So we treat in general three to four patients with one dose. We move to the next cohort and to the next cohort, and we decide which one is working.
And I can tell you with ASC Therapeutics, we were able to treat the first cohort, it worked very nicely, and we were able to start preparing for the second cohort.
I found it, to tell you the truth, a little bit boring because it takes forever to do these clinical trials. We had already a number of competitors doing very well, but we had a specific and a different type of gene therapy that [00:10:00] brought another different shape to the patient. differentiating factor that we think we thought, I thought when I was with the company would be very helpful.
So indeed you still need a phase one clinical trial. And this is just between eight to 12 patients. It’s not much, not more than one.
Alexander: So I have another question. So if we basically just replace the gene. How do we then have different drugs? Aren’t then all the drugs more or less exactly the same?
Isn’t that all basically copies of the original drug? Because that, that, that’s just my naive question. Yeah. So if you have, if you think about, for example, Humira, yeah. Says, lots of different NTTLFs, and they are all different biological entities, yeah?
They all have a little bit of a different method of action, and so on, different binding affinity, and all these kind of different things. [00:11:00] And my assumption my very naïve assumption, being just a statistician if you will, replacing a gene is basically always exactly the same. What’s the difference between the different drugs then?
Oscar: This is an ex excellent question, and that’s also what I would wonder, and you would say, why did I do that? Having three top competitors, one of them already an f, d, a, approved, why would I do this? And going into this space. First of all, because it’s hemophilia A. So this is, although this is a rare disease, it’s very common, relatively common as a rare disease, and there is a huge market.
So when the entire process of developing of these drugs started about, I would say, about 10 years ago now, believe it or not, the actual effort by Pfizer, Roche, and Biomarin, we hadn’t started yet, Everyone thought, okay, my God, this is a [00:12:00] huge market, relatively. Everyone started to think a lot in gene therapies or diseases.
But you are absolutely right. All the gene therapies, all these three companies working on gene therapies, would do basically the same thing. There is no patent protection or something like that. Genes cannot be patented. It’s all about methodology. It’s about little details about how do you produce your gene therapy?
How do you deliver it?
Alexander: Yeah.
Oscar: What the dose and what are your costs? At the end of the day, you afford that. Everyone afford that, that these therapies are externally costly are between I would say one and three million dollars per patient per dose to treat the patient only once and in some cases like recently in the UK, NICE, which is the reimbursement agency in the UK just approved one of these drugs for this.
Alexander: So really [00:13:00] the differences are in The delivery. So the you talked about the, it’s basically sent through a virus into the and I think this kind of virus capture capsule, so to say, that can be different, isn’t it? So that is more the methodology around it. Is that correct?
Oscar: Yeah. For instance, we use different types of AAV. They are numbered from one to 10. And some people use AB5, others AB8, others AB9, and so on. And that could be one difference. But at the end of the day, believe it or not, it doesn’t matter. The moment that you get one of these AAVs, it doesn’t matter which one.
You are going to be immunized for all other AAVs. As I said at the beginning. So that’s the first thing to take into account. Now. What that does one difference, but another difference is be able to have a very low dose.
If you [00:14:00] have a low dose because of the high cost of manufacturing, you’re going to be able to reduce the cost of your therapy.
That’s something that is important and everyone is trying to do that. Now, What happened in AAV and why I got out of that I mean with Hemophilia A and why I decided to get out of that space is because Roche came up with a Phenomenal way to treat patients with hemophilia A so that they would not need to to go as what happens with these patients practically they need to go into, in, in their hospitals in a regular base basis, even twice a week.
So when this new drug came to the market, everyone started realizing, okay, we are. We gene therapy is losing totally the value for these patients. And this is what has happened. Biomarine launched the drug over one and a half years ago. And they want to divest that [00:15:00] asset.
It has a complete disaster. Economically for the company, they replaced the CEO. And I think they sold in two years or in one half year, maybe they were able to treat five to 10 patients or something like that, absolutely catastrophic. We were bringing
Alexander: Ross exactly to that made them so successful as compared to Barry Marie.
Oscar: Yeah, it’d be because the drug was given once a month. And they could be used at home.
Alexander: Okay. The, but isn’t it that you treat gene therapy only once?
Oscar: Yeah, but this is not a gene therapy.
Alexander: Ah, okay. Okay. Okay. So that is interesting. So Roche basically came up with a much, much cheaper, not curative option, but that basically helps patients to maintain things.
And over a longer period. Okay. Okay. Let’s go a little bit further [00:16:00] into the into the discussion about the clinical development plan. Phase one. So very often phase one is about non patients, healthy subjects. But in gene and cell therapy, it would be always like in oncology, usually these would be patients, isn’t it?
Oscar: Yeah, it is.
Alexander: Yeah. And so you can also directly measure the efficacy. So that’s why this is basically a phase, phase one, two step, isn’t it?
Oscar: That’s correct.
Alexander: So And then, how would your phase three then look like? Would you need, like in very often in other diseases, especially the big ones, to confirmatory trials to meet the requirements for for submission?
Oscar: So once, once you have a successful phase one clinical trial in gene therapies moving into pivotal [00:17:00] trials means that you have already defined your dose and you need to treat a number of patients to ensure that there is also long term efficacy. And the way you do that is ensuring that you have the right amount of patients that are going to be shown to be successful.
efficacy over time. And you don’t need, which is a kind of difference between gene therapies and other type of therapies placebo arm or a control arm. So basically, the agency is going to accept the data that you have.
Alexander: That is interesting. So you basically run a single arm study as a phase three.
And with that from an efficacy side of you. I can understand that because you will know that placebo just has Or standard of care has zero effect. Yeah the question I have is how do you establish a clear safety [00:18:00] profile and if you don’t have a placebo?
Oscar: This type of therapy is so different and so specific that we have already a number of rules, let’s say, for safety.
Obviously, safety management is critical in any kind of study. You have already done that in your phase one clinical trial. The agency is able to review that and basically the pivotal trial should not bring any surprises.
The main safety aspects that you want to take into account are related to the actual therapy with viruses.
So second is related to the fact that in our case, for instance, we are targeting the liver. And what that means is that we’re inducing a kind of hepatitis.
So we’re actually deliver with these trillions of viruses. And what you see often is that these patients start to develop increase in liver enzymes that indicate damage to the liver.[00:19:00]
So you don’t want these levels to go too high. And that’s something that obviously you have already looked into a balance when you decided was the dose that you wanted to use for people to try it. Another aspect that you want to check is once your liver cell, the hepatocyte in our case, with hemophilia A and several other gene therapies, is producing this protein, in our case, again, factor VIII, you want to see that this factor VIII It’s also not inducing a response, an immune response that is going to counteract the factor VIII, which that could be very negative for a patient because they could not even receive another therapy in the future.
Yeah. So that’s the error for factor VIII because you give factor VIII and the factor VIII is blocked or inhibited. These are basically the main aspects that you want to check with these patients from our safety perspective.
Alexander: And what is the typical follow up [00:20:00] time that you need for these phase three studies?
Oscar: That’s again a very interesting question. The FDA requires us to follow each and every patient receiving our gene therapy, us or any other gene therapy, company for five years.
So the title usually is able to give us an indication that the patient is working, that the gene therapy is working within, I would say, six months.
You want to continue following this patient for about one year, very thoroughly, in a very structured way, but the FDA wants to see data for up to five years. So that means that the sponsor is required to follow this patient for five years. Once the patient reaches these five years. Then the, all patients in gene therapies must go into registries for life.
I’m not sure how that works, that’s a little bit far away from me, or it was. Who pays for that? But at the end of the day, [00:21:00] gene therapy is a relatively new therapeutic modality, and you want to make sure that these patients don’t have any kind of issue with with this therapy of the time, because we are learning all about gene therapies in humans.
Alexander: Very good. How do you, what’s your experience working with statisticians on these kind of clinical development plans? Because, I think, from a statistics point of view, this seems to be like tell me the number and then we work together. provide you with some proportions and some means and some standard deviations. And that’s about it.
Oscar: Yeah, first of all, I think that the role of the statisticians in drug development is absolutely crucial also in gene therapies. And we can also talk about some therapies later on, but in principle, even being such a small And I’m, let’s start with the Phase 1 2A clinical [00:22:00] trial, which is the way we define this first step with the dose ranging study.
We, we need to make sure that we have the right type of descriptive statistics.
There is, there is no sample size. Everything is very well established. It’s always the same, but depending on how it works over time with you, with your different doses, you may need more, more dosing. You need to confirm the dose that, that you have decided from three to six patients, maybe nine patients.
And for that, really, actually, you don’t need to a very thorough statistical plan. But when you come to the actual protocol on the submission to the agency for the IND, you need to provide an SAP and a statistical analysis plan. And there, you also need Indicate this is the number of pages that I’m going to incorporate.
This is my sample size and so on a different story is when you go into the pivotal trial. Depending on the results that you got on the phase 1, then we work with the statisticians [00:23:00] to ensure that we get not only the right sample size, but also the right And that we see the change that we expect, that we also see the expected effect size.
And that means that this is not just going to be throughout the, depending on the data, the number of patients have failed, that you see not only statistical significance, but that they have practical means, practical meaning. So that you actually are going to see that this drug is going to work in patients and the agency is very strict and sometimes Biomarine got a delay of almost two years with also a gene therapy for hemophilia.
Because they tried to mix together data from the pivotal trial with phase one. Several phase one clinical trials and the agency didn’t like that. So they want consistency. They want to make sure that you, in your clinical protocol, the way you treat your patients is very consistent. So that’s why the agency came back to them [00:24:00] and tell them, no, you need to have a very clean Pivotal trial, phase three trial that includes all the patients under the same umbrella of the protocol and ensuring that all of them can be analyzed in a very consistent manner.
And that’s when we also work very closely with the statisticians.
Alexander: Yep. Thanks so much for this very, very nice deep dive into gene therapy and especially how it works, how the different drugs compared to each other the different challenges and phase one, two, and three, and just perspective on working together with with statisticians on that.
What is your. Key takeaways that anybody who would like to learn more about. Gene therapy. What should say what would be your key recommendation for them?
Oscar: I’m [00:25:00] going to be a little bit self serving here and I’m trying to, I would suggest that you start reading an entire book that I wrote together with a number of experts in this space.
And I was honored to be asked to write chapter one, which was an introduction to gene therapy and how you use biomarkers and how you use statistics and everything. The book is in Wiley and I don’t remember now the actual details. But We will put it in the show notes. Yeah. My name is in Google Books.
And I would say that’s a start. But there is an incredible amount of information out there. I have also written several articles and even, for instance, for the gene therapy I just mentioned, for hemophilia A, I wrote a review with Professor Steve Pipe. which is the guru of hemophilia A and we wrote an overview about how our gene therapy was different from the three others that I mentioned.
And I don’t need [00:26:00] to go into details about that, but I would say, I would recommend that someone takes one specific therapeutic target. And I would recommend, because I know that very well, and there is an incredible amount of literature on factor VIII replacement. If you understand one of them very well, you’re going to be able to move into other gene therapies.
There is also everything related to SMN1, which is, again for what Avexis developed on patients with spinal muscular atrophy. It is, it was an incredible, it’s now a blockbuster in some ways, a drug where Novartis, when you go to Novartis and you go to Sulgensma, you can see a lot of information.
So that’s what I would recommend. For instance, take sargensma and take the hemophilia A factor VIII and start to understand and read about that. But I personally, I have several review articles on, on, on the book I just mentioned. Okay.
Alexander: We’ll put links to all of that in the show notes. [00:27:00] Thanks so much, Oscar, for this great discussion about gene therapy.
Oscar: Thank you so much for this opportunity.
Join The Effective Statistician LinkedIn group
This group was set up to help each other to become more effective statisticians. We’ll run challenges in this group, e.g. around writing abstracts for conferences or other projects. I’ll also post into this group further content.
I want to help the community of statisticians, data scientists, programmers and other quantitative scientists to be more influential, innovative, and effective. I believe that as a community we can help our research, our regulatory and payer systems, and ultimately physicians and patients take better decisions based on better evidence.
I work to achieve a future in which everyone can access the right evidence in the right format at the right time to make sound decisions.
When my kids are sick, I want to have good evidence to discuss with the physician about the different therapy choices.
When my mother is sick, I want her to understand the evidence and being able to understand it.
When I get sick, I want to find evidence that I can trust and that helps me to have meaningful discussions with my healthcare professionals.
I want to live in a world, where the media reports correctly about medical evidence and in which society distinguishes between fake evidence and real evidence.
Let’s work together to achieve this.